How Will Tariffs Impact China’s Singles’ Day 2025? Six Months To Go—What Brands and Retailers Need to Know
15 minutes

How Will Tariffs Impact China’s Singles’ Day 2025? Six Months To Go—What Brands and Retailers Need to Know

Primary Analyst:
Sophie Anne Luo, Analyst
Contributors
Primary Analyst:
Sophie Anne Luo, Analyst
Sector Lead: Anand Kumar, Associate Director of Retail Research
Insight Report

What's Inside

China’s Singles’ Day, the largest online shopping festival in the world is just six months away! How will the festival perform against a backdrop of economic and consumer uncertainty, driven by tariffs?

In this China Retail Insights report, we discuss what brands and retailers need to know to prepare for the upcoming festival, offering critical insight on the country’s macroeconomic context and analyzing proprietary survey findings to explore consumer sentiment.

We also present three trends that are set to shape Singles’ Day this year, from a focus on value to technology-enhanced logistics.

Data in this research report include:

  • Estimated GMV by e-commerce platform type during Singles’ Day, 2022–2024
  • Year-over-year growth in China retail sales on a monthly basis, March 2024–March 2025
  • Proprietary survey findings—China-based consumers’ perceptions of the impacts of tariffs on the retail landscape and them personally, and how tariffs will affect consumers’ participation in Singles’ Day 2025
  • Manufacturing PMI vs. Non-Manufacturing Business Index in China, April 2024–April 2025

Companies mentioned in this presentation include: Alibaba (Tmall/Taobao), Douyin, JD.com, Pinduoduo

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